January 31, 2016

BOTEC Estimates of Washington Cannabis Market are UNDER-Estimates

Executive Summary:  (for the TL;DR crowd) BOTEC’s recent estimates of the size of Washington’s Cannabis market are terrible, horrible, and rather gnarly.  One might think that BOTEC would be embarrassed by the work they sold to the Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board.  Of more immediate importance, these BOTEC-generated magical estimates are, simply,  way too small.  Systematically way too small.  This is important in that these under-estimates have already contributed to the too-small allocation of only 222 new retail access points to support the medical cannabis market.  If you agree with my […]
January 2, 2016

If a Picture is Worth a Thousand Words, then a Video Must be Worth a Billion

Happy New Year to you all! One of my New Year’s Resolutions is to become less verbose in my postings (sure, Jim … like that will last). The following video captures an interesting dynamic that emerged during the first 64 weeks of Flower Potency Testing by Washington’s supposedly PRAGUE Labs. The Y-axis (vertical) shows “inflation” of reported TOTAL CANNABINOIDS … being on the red line means the lab was using THCmax (and, hence, their “inflation” is zero %).   As one moves up, the inflation increases. The X-axis (horizontal) shows the value […]
December 29, 2015

Labbiness in Washington Labs: Where is truthiness when you need it?

(with apologies to Stephen Colbert on the title of this post) Now that another Christmas and Boxing Day are behind us, I’ve compiled a series of metrics that I believe capture much of the “flavor” in the multi-dimensional dataset describing the quality assurance and potency testing conducted by the Labs through August of this year. This sampling represents more than 25,000 potency tests for flower alone.  One might expect high variability across flower lots, but one does not necessarily see that (depending on how one cuts the data).  There is […]
December 20, 2015

222 is both a Special Number and an Inadequate Number

(Author’s warning – this is a 21+ – only posting, as it deals with Numerology, and I do not believe that children should be exposed to such things.  I know what it has done to me.) 12/20/2015 (JimNote – see that number hiding in today’s date?) When Senate Bill 5202 pronounced the death of Washington’s long-standing medical market, harm was Legislatively foisted on all patients that incorporate Cannabis into their health regimens and on all of those involved in ensuring that these patients had reliable and ready access to their […]